Technical Analysis

By TradingRage

ethereum’s Price Movement

The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, ethereum‘s price surged significantly after being supported by the 200-day moving average around the $1,800 mark. The market has broken above the large descending channel, indicating a new bullish wave. However, a short-term consolidation or correction seems likely at the moment.

The price has reached the $2,200 resistance level, and the Relative Strength Index is also showing a clear overbought signal. As a result, a pullback to the $2,000 level is highly probable, with a deeper drop toward the higher trendline of the broken channel also possible.

The 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour chart depicts a classic bullish continuation pattern. The price first rebounded from the $1,550 level in October. Then, the market went through a few weeks of accumulation phase, consolidating below the $2,000 level and creating a clear price range. Finally, yesterday’s price rally was a direct result of the long accumulation phase in the last few weeks, and the price is currently testing the $2,150 resistance zone. Similar to the daily timeframe, the Relative Strength Index indicates an overbought state in momentum. Therefore, a drop back toward the $2,000 level or even the mid-line of the accumulation range at the $1,850 mark can be expected in the short term before a further move higher.

Sentiment Analysis

 By TradingRage

Funding Rates

ethereum’s price skyrocketed more than 10% yesterday, breaking above the key $2,000 level. However, the derivatives market is demonstrating a rather worrying signal that market participants should consider carefully before taking any action. This chart represents the funding rates for ethereum, which is one of the prominent metrics for futures market sentiment evaluation. Positive values show optimism, and negative values exhibit pessimism in the futures traders. While for any bullish trend, positive funding rates are necessary, there is such a thing as “too high” for this metric. Following yesterday’s price surge, the funding rates have spiked considerably, reaching levels last seen during the final phases of the 2021 bull market. Therefore, a correction or even a total reversal might be on the horizon as a result of a potential long liquidation cascade.

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